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Energy market fundamentals

Reference guides for the concepts behind every brief and signal on this site. Written for traders who want to know what the data actually means — not investing advice, not opinion, just the mechanics.

Crude pricing·6 min read

How to read the Brent-WTI spread

The Brent-WTI spread is the cleanest single read on global crude balance. What it means, what moves it, and how to use it in a trading decision.

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Crude pricing·7 min read

Contango vs backwardation: how to read the oil futures curve

The shape of the crude futures curve tells you whether the market is oversupplied or tight. What contango and backwardation mean, what causes them, and how to trade the signal.

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Data fundamentals·7 min read

Port congestion as a trading signal: how vessel backups move markets

Vessel congestion at major ports leads freight rates and energy prices by days. How it's measured, why it's a leading indicator, the failure modes, and how to turn it into a trade.

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Freight·6 min read

What the Baltic Dry Index tells traders

The Baltic Dry Index is the price of moving raw materials by sea — and one of the cleanest real-time reads on global trade demand. What moves it and how traders use it.

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Supply signals·5 min read

What floating storage tells oil traders

Laden tankers sitting at anchor are crude that nobody wants right now. When the count rises, contango is structural. When it falls, the market is tightening.

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Geopolitics·8 min read

The Strait of Hormuz: anatomy of the world's most important oil chokepoint

Twenty percent of global oil and twenty-five percent of LNG transits a 33-mile-wide strait between Iran and Oman. What happens at Hormuz moves Brent, period.

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Data fundamentals·6 min read

AIS data 101 for traders

Every commercial vessel broadcasts its position. That signal is the closest thing to ground truth in physical commodity markets. Here's what it actually shows you.

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Refined products·6 min read

Reading the 3-2-1 crack spread

The crack spread is a refiner's gross margin. When it widens, refiners run flat-out. When it compresses, they cut runs and crude inventories build. It's a leading indicator.

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Free reference content. More guides shipping regularly.